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February 22nd, 2019 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

An 0-1 record last night.

Not the way we pictured coming back from the All-Star break, but the Rockets (who we took) are probably saying the same thing right now. This game was 90-83 Rockets after three quarters and looked like it was going to be money in the bank. Then the Lakers went on a crazy 28-16 run to end the game. There were a lot of calls that didn’t go the Rockets way which caused James Harden to say that he felt it was a personal attack on him.

Which is funny because he gets more calls than anyone for things that he shouldn’t get calls on. It’s good in that some of that stuff shouldn’t be allowed, but it’s also bad in that we know Harden and the Rockets as a team that gets away with these things and if they suddenly aren’t that team then our whole projection of them changes. That team has a lot of stuff to work out as they are just getting healthy and need to get Clint Capela and Chris Paul back in the mix instead of just being the Harden show. I expect some growing pains going forward.

A full slate tonight and a couple of games that I’m looking at. This is the time of the year when the tanking becomes shameless so we’ll be targeting a couple of games where I believe that will be the case.

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Chicago Bulls at Orlando Magic Betting Tips:

The All-Star break came at exactly the wrong time for the Magic who were on fire, winning five straight by big margins. I’m thinking that they keep their run going here against this lowly Bulls team. They are 4-8 over their past twelve games and they just don’t inspire a lot of confidence in me right now. This team really has nothing to play for and should just be trying to develop their young players down the stretch. That means not a lot of defense and big minutes for people who aren’t quite there yet.

The Magic are in a playoff race and I think they get that last spot. The Hornets are vulnerable and they are pretty much just one player while the Magic have a nice squad. If they get anything, ANY-THING out of Markelle Fultz this season, then there is no reason to think they don’t continue to play strong and grab that final spot.

Bet Magic -8

Americans: Where To Bet the NBA Playoffs

Sportsbook: Reason:
Bovada 50% to $250 Welcome Bonus
5Dimes Best odds, reduced juice.

Minnesota Timberwolves at New York Knicks Betting Tips:

The Knicks won their last game heading into the break and ended up with a 1-18 record heading into the break. This team is all-in on next season with two max slots and hopefully a top-3 pick. They are tanking and they have no motivation to play hard here. They won’t play hard and they won’t win this game.

This game has a line a bit lower than you’d expect because Karl-Anthony Towns is listed on the injury report and is questionable tonight. I don’t care. This team has an outside shot at the playoffs and Ryan Saunders is coaching for a job. This team will play hard and get the job done against this joke of a team. Don’t watch this one, just bet it.

Bet Wolves -4.5

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February 13th, 2019 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

A 1-0 record last night.

The Magic were our pick last night and while that wasn’t a very sexy pick, it was most definitely the best pick. They won by the biggest margin of the night as they won 118-88. They came out to a 39-17 lead in the first quarter (on the road) and never looked back. Nikola Vučević had the best game with 25 points and 17 rebounds. The game also saw Aaron Gordon, Jonathan Isaac, and Evan Fournier all scored 20 or more points. I really wonder if sitting might be the best thing for Anthony Davis as he finished this game with just three points and six rebounds in 24 minutes. What’s the point, you know?

Graeme mentioned the Lakers last night as a possibility, but he chose to wait and see. That turned out to be a good idea as they lost outright to the Hawks. LeBron James had an outstanding game with 28 points, 16 rebounds, and 11 assists in 43 minutes. For him to play that kind of minutes and lose, to a lottery team, is just shocking to see. I feel bad for Luke Walton who will almost surely be fired before next season because of this lousy roster.

A big slate tonight with 11 games with a couple of big ESPN games with the Rockets and Wolves, and the Warriors and Blazers.

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Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips:

The Mavericks are one of the best home teams in the league this season with a 20-8 record against the spread and they are 10-3 against the spread in games where the spread is six points or less. The trades weakened them a bit this season, but Luka Doncic has been gaining confidence throughout the season and I like him in this match-up.

Miami was also weakened at the deadline and they are in the midst of a six game road trip. This is game five and they’ve lost the past three games. This is definitely a team in transition and they’ve slipped out of the playoff picture, down to 9th. I’m having a hard time seeing them get back in that race and I am having a hard time seeing them win here today.

Bet Mavericks -2.5

Americans: Where To Bet the NBA Playoffs

Sportsbook: Reason:
Bovada 50% to $250 Welcome Bonus
5Dimes Best odds, reduced juice.

Golden State Warriors vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Tips:

The Blazers are a great home team, but the book on them is that they struggle against good teams and the numbers play this out. They are 10-14 against the spread (9-15 straight up) as an underdog on the year and this is the best team in the NBA.

The Warriors are hot right now. They are on a 16-1 run right now and everyone is cooking. Stephen Curry is driving his bench crazy, Klay Thompson has been shooting the lights out, and Kevin Durant is still Kevin Durant.

This game has a line of -3 for the Warriors which seems pretty dang low. Yes, they are on the road and they have been a middling ATS team, but this team is just getting it done right now and I don’t think the Blazers will have much of an answer for them here.

Bet Warriors -3

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February 11th, 2019 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

A 1-0 record last night.

This game was just plain wild. The Mavericks entered the 4th quarter down 92-78. Damian Lillard had a monster third quarter with 21 points and it looked like this was going to be a loss. The the fourth happened and it was one of the weirdest performances the Blazers have had all season. They went ten minutes without scoring a basket and the Mavericks outscored them 24-9 to win by one point. Luka Doncic led the way with 28 points, nine assists and six rebounds.

We have a full schedule tonight including a red alert schedule alert game. That game is the Heat at the Nuggets. I love taking teams on the road at Denver, but the sportsbooks are fully ready for this one. They set this line at -10 and are not taking any chances. Denver should most definitely win here, but I’m not loving it at this line. Let’s take a look and see what does look good.

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets: I was all set to write up the Mavs as one of my picks of the day, but the recent schedule is just worrisome to me. This is their their third in four nights and the second half of a back-to-back. The travel from Dallas to Houston isn’t as big of a deal as some other travel situations, but that’s still a lot of minutes on a team that is essentially shorthanded. Luka Doncic played 38 minutes last night while Dorian Finney-Smith played 35. So while that +10 looks very appealing, I just can’t pull the trigger here.

Americans: Where To Bet the NBA Playoffs

Sportsbook: Reason:
Bovada 50% to $250 Welcome Bonus
5Dimes Best odds, reduced juice.

Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Tips:

After Saturday night I am going to say right off the bat that this bet should only be placed if Giannis plays. I like the Bucks roster and am a big fan of Khris Middleton, but laying ten points when Giannis Antetokounmpo is on the bench is like betting on a car without an engine to win the Indy 500.

The Bucks are coming off that bad loss to the Magic at home on Saturday and I can’t imagine that set well with the team or their coach. Yes, they didn’t have the Greek Freak, but that doesn’t excuse a 20-point loss. While this game against a lowly opponent would often be a night off, the loss on Saturday could provide a new level of motivation. This team has a really rough schedule coming up and I don’t see them taking any win for granted between now and that point. They have their eyes on the #1 seed in the East.

Chicago made a big move at the deadline to acquire Otto Porter and he makes the starting lineup work a bit better, but this team still bleeds points. They played the Wizards in their last game out and lost 134-125. That is a huge amount of points. Zach LaVine can score with the best of them and Lauri Markkanen is a great young player, but I just don’t trust this defense to do anything to stop Milwaukee tonight… if Giannis plays.

Bet Bucks -10

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February 10th, 2019 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

An 0-2 night last night that should’ve been 0-1.

When I wrote up the tips yesterday, Giannis Antetokounmpo was not on the injury list and because he wasn’t on the injury list, the Bucks were favored by -11.5 and I laid those points. Later in the day, Giannis was scratched and that line just started dropping and eventually landed at -6.5. I was oblivious to all of this at the time, but there is no way I would’ve taken the Bucks for a double-digit spread without Giannis. That’s like the Packers without Aaron Rodgers, that’s like taking the Legion of Doom without Road Warrior Hawk. I just wouldn’t do it and I hope that while I lost money on this one, that you didn’t.

Our other game was the Raptors over the Knicks. We laid the big -14 here and the Raps won by five. This felt like one of those games that the Raptors could’ve blown out, but they felt like toying with some new lineups and tinkering with some things instead. A loss I don’t like, but understand in the context of this league.

There is a short five-game slate here tonight and not a ton that I am liking. I have one pick and then I’ll go through a few leans and let you all decide what you think about today.

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Tips:

The Mavericks at home getting points is probably my strongest lean of the day. Dallas has been great in games with a 19-8 record in the big D this season, both straight up and against the spread. Luka Doncic is listed as probable for this one and as long as he plays, Dallas looks like a strong play. This team has had a strong bench unit this year and with the trades at the deadline, this is firmly Doncic’s team now.

They are +4.5 here and this is the only the fourth time that the Blazers have been a road favorite this season. That should tell you something about their road play as they are just 10-13 overall. I can see them winning this game, but I think it will be a battle and the earlier start favors the home team.

Bet Dallas +4.5

Americans: Where To Bet the NBA Playoffs

Sportsbook: Reason:
Bovada 50% to $250 Welcome Bonus
5Dimes Best odds, reduced juice.

Los Angeles Lakers at Philadelphia 76ers: Joel Embiid is once again listed as questionable here which always gives me pause when it comes to this team. The addition of Tobias Harris really opened this team up and they really showed it on Friday. That said, +7.5 for LeBron James feels like a lot. He also showed his powers on Friday and I just don’t want to go against him with such a big number.

Orlando Magic at Atlanta Hawks: I don’t like to bet on teams like the Hawks, but this is Orlando’s third game and four nights and the second half of a road back-to-back. They are probably feeling themselves right now after the big win in Milwaukee, but I don’t think they should underestimate John Collins, Trae Young and the boys here.

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February 9th, 2019 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

A 1-2 record last night.

Denver and Philly played one heck of the game and we just missed the cover by three points. This was a tough one as when I wrote the tips Joel Embiid and JJ Reddick were listed as questionable. Well, they both played and combined for 49 points.

The Pistons were my favorite play of the night and they covered easily. Andre Drummond went off in this one with a 29 points, 20 rebound game. That Knicks roster is just a no-man’s land right now and I’m sure you’ll be seeing them again in these pages.

We had the Warriors -15.5 over the Suns and they showed both why they are so annoying to bet on and why laying that kind of points is a tough business. The Suns went up in the first quarter 31-26, which I figured would be good because it would motivate them to finish strong. Warriors went 34-22 in the second and it felt like I was right, but Golden State let the Suns back in with a 32-22 third quarter. The Warriors absolutely dominated the fourth and won by 10, but they messed around too much to cover the big number.

Nine games on the slate tonight, let’s see what we have to work with.

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New York Knicks vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Tips:

The trash Knicks on a back-to-back against the Raptors? Yes, please. Both of these teams were active at the deadline, but it definitely had a bigger effect on the Knicks than the Raptors. The Knicks cleaned house while the Raps replaced their true center with Marc Gasol. It’s questionable if Marc Gasol plays this game, but I really don’t think it matters.

Toronto has won four of their past five games and has covered the last three games by easy margins. The Knicks defense just doesn’t have what it takes to stop this attack and I don’t think this one will be even remotely close. Raptors by 20, at least.

Bet Raptors -12.5

Americans: Where To Bet the NBA Playoffs

Sportsbook: Reason:
Bovada 50% to $250 Welcome Bonus
5Dimes Best odds, reduced juice.

Orlando Magic vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Tips:

The Bucks in February are money. Their schedule is going to get much harder next month so we fully expect them to start stacking wins right now. This is a great match-up for them. The Magic and the game is in Milwaukee. The Bucks are 17-10 against the spread at home this season and 32-20 against the spread overall on the season. This team is just crushing teams right now. They’ve won six straight and twelve of their past thirteen. This is your number one seed in the Eastern Conference and they know it.

The Magic are 10-17 on the road this year. They traded Jonathon Simmons for Markelle Fultz which is a nice move for the future, but is a net negative now. Throw in the injury to Mohamed Bamba and this team is shorthanded against one of the deeper teams in the league. Throw in them having no answer for Giannis Antetokounmpo and I just don’t see how the Bucks don’t absolutely roll here. Magic rank 24th in Offensive Efficiency while the Bucks are fourth in that metric. Methinks they’ll have trouble keeping up.

Bet Bucks -11

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February 8th, 2019 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

A 1-1 record last night.

We go for the Lakers and they disappoint us. We go against the Lakers and they pull off a huge upset. We laid the points with the Celtics at home against LA and it looked great at the half. Boston was up 9 and the Lakers looked off. Then the third quarter happened and the Lakers exploded for a 42-27 run. LeBron James looked to be back with a 28/12/12 line and Rajon Rondo got some revenge against his old team with a game winning shot. Weird game.

Our other pick was the Pacers who absolutely blew out the Clippers for the easy win. The Tobias Harris trade hit this Clipper team hard and it won’t be a surprise to see them slip out of the playoff picture.

The trade deadline has passed and Anthony Davis is still a Pelican. It’s crazy to me that they plan on letting him play the rest of the season. They just have so much to lose if anything were to happen to him. There were a lot of other trades that could affect tonight’s games so proceed with caution when betting tonight.

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New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Tips:

Who is even going to be playing for the Knicks here? They just bought out Enes Kanter and Wesley Matthews so they are out and that leaves a ton of youth. DeAndre Jordan is the veteran here and he’ll be playing alongside Kevin Knox and Dennis Smith Jr. That isn’t really inspiring and the worst team in the league has somehow become worse.

The Pistons are Blake Griffin‘s team and while they did some moves on the fringe, they go as he goes. He will be able to do whatever he wants against this team tonight and I’m laying the points here.

Bet Pistons -8.5

Americans: Where To Bet the NBA Playoffs

Sportsbook: Reason:
Bovada 50% to $250 Welcome Bonus
5Dimes Best odds, reduced juice.

Denver Nuggets vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Tips:

There has been a lot of talk about the all-in trades that the Sixers made. They added Tobias Harris and Boban Marjanovic from the Clippers (who should play tonight), and traded Markelle Fultz for Jonathon Simmons (who probably won’t). Joel Embiid is listed as questionable for this one and the team is still trying to figure out how to get enough shots for Jimmy Butler as well. There are a lot of players who will look to score and I just think this thing is going to take some time. Embiid and JJ Reddick can be the glue guys to hold it together, but with both listed as questionable tonight I am bullish on the Sixers here.

The Nuggets are great. Malik Beasley has been a revelation since getting more minutes and with no Embiid, I expect Nikola Jokic to run wild in this one. This line is way too high to me as outside of the home court, the Nuggets are the better team thus far this year. I think they are a great value at this line.

Bet Nuggets +4.5

Golden State vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Tips:

The king stays the king and despite all the trades, the Warriors are still the boss of this league. This is an IF bet for me. Devin Booker is listed as questionable and as long as he doesn’t play, I’m on board with laying the points on the Warriors here.

Bet Warriors -15.5 IF Booker is out

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February 4th, 2019 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

What a boring Super Bowl that was. We took the day off yesterday because none of the early games really appealed to us and we figured the Super Bowl would be taking up most of people’s head space for the day. Sadly, they used that head space to be boring. Graeme is celebrating hard though as a big time Patriots fan, so good for him… I guess.

We had a 1-1 night on Saturday as one of the schedule alert games came in and one didn’t. We should’ve known better than to bet the Suns under any circumstance. This team has a ton of young talent and has a bright future, but they are clearly going for that lottery again and trying to add one more piece like Zion Williamson or Cam Reddish. I doubt you’ll read that team name in a bold link again this season.

NBA is back in action and they are the marquee sport going forward. Things are getting important and the trade deadline is upon us. This should be fun from here on out. Let’s win some games.

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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Tips:

I love the Milwaukee Bucks and think they are the cream of the Eastern Conference and that Giannis Antetokounmpo should be the MVP and that Khris Middleton AND Eric Bledsoe deserve to be All-Stars, but I don’t love them here today. This game has letdown written all over it.

This is the fourth game of a road trip for Milwaukee which is always a tough one. They’ve won the previous three too so a letdown is lingering there. They are just 9-8 as a road favorite against the spread this season.

Meanwhile, Brooklyn has won nine straight home games and is really starting to get hot. They are probably feeling desperate for a win at this point too as they are coming off an 0-2 road trip. This line just feels a bit too high for me and Brooklyn is a good value at home.

Bet Brooklyn +7

Americans: Where To Bet the NBA Playoffs

Sportsbook: Reason:
Bovada 50% to $250 Welcome Bonus
5Dimes Best odds, reduced juice.

Houston Rockets vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Tips:

I am getting my money back from that loss on Saturday with the Rockets here. Houston has Chris Paul back which settles a lot of my worries about their second unit. James Harden can still do it all when needed, but he shouldn’t need to here. A healthy Harden, Paul, Austin Rivers, and possibly Eric Gordon (listed as questionable) is a ton of offensive power and they have the offensive scheme to utilize it. This Phoenix defense is 29th in the NBA in Defensive Efficiency and this one could get ugly.

The healthier this Houston teams gets, the more I like them. Clint Capela is still out, but I don’t see DeAndre Ayton and the Suns exploiting that. Ayton’s defense is still too bad to make much a difference on that end. Phoenix has lost ten straight games and they are where they are for a reason. I don’t see them getting much better and I honestly think this line should probably be in double digits. As it is, I’m taking the Rockets to win here.

Bet Houston -8.5