Well we are back, and hopefully back with a vengeance! I took a week off to examine the system more and make changes to the algorithm, and hopefully things will be better now, and we can post lots of wins!
I'll explain a bit more in detail about the system in a second - but the tips for tonight are the following:
Houston Rockets -4
Orlando Magic +5.5
Chicago Bulls -4
Golden State Warriors +15.5
Oklahoma City Thunder +12.5
Washington Wizards +5.5
Cleveland Cavaliers -4
Okay - now to briefly explain everything. The way the system works, is that it takes all the statistics and information from previous games, both for players and teams. It also has many other factors included, like comparing how teams match up against teams of similar style.
The problem though is determing how other factors affect the result. If LeBron James is firing in 30 a game for 15 games, then has an off night getting only 6, how much should that factor in? If a team wins 3 at home, then loses 5 straight on the road, how much should that factor in to the actual results? The system tends to learn from all this and adapt, which is why later in the season is where we get the best results, however I've spent the past week trying to "push it along" so to speak, to get to that point a lot faster.
I've also been working on the over/under model. This is experimental and I don't advise following at this time - at least not with full units - I tried for two seasons to get the O/U down pat with the WNBA with no success, so I'm not too optimistic but we'll see:
Denver/Golden State Under 229.5
So that's pretty much it. Again, here are tonights predictions:
Houston Rockets -4
Orlando Magic +5.5
Chicago Bulls -4
Golden State Warriors +15.5
Oklahoma City Thunder +12.5
Washington Wizards +5.5
Cleveland Cavaliers -4
Also a quick shoutout to my buddy John, who just started a new site PokerSpoils.com. What really makes his site stand out is the thorough review of Poker Loyalty Programs that he does - as someone who plays poker a lot I really don't care much about bonuses etc anymore - loyalty programs are where it is at, so it is good to finally find a great resource for them.
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