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April 24th, 2019 NBA Betting Tips

Graeme & VinWritten by Graeme & Vin

Last night saw three teams make it to the next round of the NBA Playoffs, and the most incredible one was in Portland.

It’s fair to say that even prior to last nights game, this was the series of Damian Lillard. He has stepped up like you only dream of in these playoffs and it was only fitting that he won the game after a massive 4th quarter comeback by the Blazers with a buzzer beater ridiculous three point shot.

Absolutely incredible scenes. The Blazers were down by 15 at one point in that quarter and what a comeback.

Raptors moved on as expected with a nice dominant victory. 76ers moved on but what a disappointment from the Brooklyn Nets who just couldn’t recapture that game 1 magic at all.

The Nuggets took the win and the lead in the series against the Spurs.

Tonight is Wednesday, April 24th and we could see two other teams move on as the Rockets and Warriors host the Jazz and Clippers respectively. Both teams are 3-1 up in the series.

Warriors vs Clippers Game 5 Betting Tips:

Graeme: Not much to say here. I predicted the gentlemans sweep by the Warriors and it looks like it’s going to come in. The point spread is 14pts and that’s just too high for me. Likely see a similar game like the Raps where they take a big lead then sit back. No Bet as the variance is strong in this one.

Vin: Wait, this series is still going on? I honestly had to double check when I was looking at these lines. That’s how over this one is.

That being said, I really don’t trust this Warriors team to cover this spread. They were one of the worst teams against the spread as a favorite during the season with a 33-45 record. They failed to cover in the last game and I can see their bad habits showing up here again after two big wins.

No bet for me here. This team is great and should win by 30, but I just don’t trust them to.

Jazz vs Rockets Game 5 Betting Tips:

Graeme: I predicted Rockets would win this in 5 but due to the price, I took the 6 games instead so I’ll be hoping for the Jazz to take this one.

Jazz did seem to get things together last game out and you have to wonder if they can take things here. This is a huge game for them. If their defence can keep it going it’s anyones game.

No Bet

Vin: The Jazz got their win. They were down 3-0 and facing an early exit from the playoffs, but they showed up big for the home fans and forced this game five. This game was all about the fourth when the Rockets managed just 12 points and Donovan Mitchell scored 19 in the final frame.

The big difference maker, to me, was Jae Crowder who had 23 points. Crowder had just 19 points total in the three previous games.

Overall though, the Rockets just didn’t have it in this game. Between them being on their home court, Crowder not repeating that game, and James Harden due for a big one – it’s hard for me to go against the Rockets here.

I don’t feel quite comfortable laying the big -8 here though. I do see the Rockets forcing the Jazz to play their game though. That means big points and I can see this one easily going over.

Rockets/Jazz Over 213

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April 23rd, 2019 NBA Playoffs Betting Tips

Graeme & VinWritten by Graeme & Vin

Last night we saw the Bucks finish off the Pistons. Midway through the third quarter this was looking like a close game and the Bucks just took off. They finished the second half 71-42. Giannis Antetokounmpo had a huge game with 41 points.

We both counted out the Jazz last night and they managed to grab the win last night to extend the series. The Jazz defense finally shut down the Rockets in the fourth quarter with a 31-12 finish.

A big night in the NBA with four games tonight. Let’s get into it.

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Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors Betting Tips:

Graeme: The Toronto Raptors return here to wrap things
up on the same night that the Toronto Maple Leafs attempt to also go
through.

It could be party city in Toronto tonight.

Not sure about the Leafs, but I think the Raptors win and they win in
style. Their defence have been doing the job and Kawhi Leonard is
crushing it as is everyone else. Raps wrap this one up tonight. Will
they cover the spread? I think so – they don’t want any doubt.

Raptors -12

Vince: Game one seems like a distant memory in this series. The Raptors have shown up and proved they are one of the best teams in the playoffs and I think they lock it up here. The Magic have had a great season, but they don’t have great offense and they don’t have anyone who can stop Kawhi Leonard.

Raptors -12

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers Betting Tips:

Graeme: The 76ers can wrap it up tonight and of course
there are still questions about the knee injury of Joel Embiid.

76ers want to close this one out and get him that extra rest no doubt.
It’s at the point where whether he plays or not they’re good. I do like
the Nets to run them close though.

Nets +8.5

Vince: This is such a weird series to me. I feel a lot better about the Sixers when they don’t use Embiid than when they do. The Ben Simmons squad plays faster and the Nets can’t really keep up with that.

This series has gotten pretty chippy and I don’t see the Nets going down easily.

Nets +8.5

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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips:

Graeme: Just one of those series where they switch back
and forth. Nice to see the Nuggets get the win in San Antonio that was
a big mental win. DeMar DeRozan got fined last game out and I think the
Spurs come out fired up based on that. Spurs win but I’ll take the
points.

Spurs +5.5

Vince: The Nuggets are back at home for this one and I believe they’ve figured things out. They’d never had a playoff game in game one, they lost and won game two. They’d never had a playoff road game in game three, they lost and won game four. I feel like the good Jamal Murray shows up here and brings the Spurs to the brink.

Nuggets -5.5

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Blazers Betting Tip:

Graeme: The Thunder need a massive offensive effort
tonight. They just can’t seem to break this Blazers defence enough.
Reading what’s coming out of the camps, it just seems Thunder are down
and feel like they’re losing. I hate to say it but I agree.

Blazers -4

Vince: This series has really shown what a great guard can do for you. Damian Lillard has been absolutely fantastic in this series and has really shown his improvements in multiple facets over the past couple of weeks. While Russell Westbrook has been the same guy he’s always been. A crazy athlete who can do things no one else can do, but also a guy who can’t shoot and is subject to hero ball. The Blazers have been ready for it and taken this series. Tonight they finish it.

Blazers -4

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April 22nd, 2019 NBA Betting Tips

Graeme & VinWritten by Graeme & Vin

A 1-1 day with our unanimous betting tips.

We both had the Raptors -5 and they did the job with ease. A 107-85 victory and they’ll head back to Toronto to RAP it up.

The Warriors got the win but we had them -8.5 and they won by 8. Such is life.

Graeme was spot on with the tip of the Celtics to cover although it was close. Celtics won 110-106 and eliminate the Indiana Pacers from the NBA playoffs.

Big win for the Blazers and looking at things it looks like they’ll be taking this series.

For Monday, April 22nd we can see two other teams eliminated as we have game 4s in Detroit and Utah.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons Game 4 Betting Tips:

Vin: Bring out the brooms! Bring on the Celtics!

The Bucks are going to finish this series tonight. Detroit got Blake Griffin back for their first home game in game three which was huge for them and they still lost by sixteen points. They are just outmatched in every way and the Bucks absolutely
have their eye on the prize.

There were a lot of questions about Eric Bledsoe heading into the playoffs and he has fully answered them. Khris Middleton has continued his trend of being a sharpshooter in the playoffs. Everyone on this team has been so good that we’ve barely seen Giannis Antetokounmpo dominate. He’s scoring 21.3 points per game with 13 rebounds in this postseason in just 27 minutes. I can’t wait to see what he does in more time. Al Horford should be having nightmares right now.

I could see this being the Pistons best played game in the series and they could tease it being close. That said, Bucks by 15.

Bet Bucks -12.5

Graeme: You have to wonder how Detroit are feeling in this game. It’s do or die. The question is will they “do” or are they already prepared to roll over and die?

It’s a big question. In my opinion the sportsbooks want you to bet the Pistons which is why we’ve got such a crucial game requiring their best performance, yet getting 12.5 points.

I think mathematically the right bet is still the Pistons to cover the spread. But I can’t advise that. I’ll probably throw money on the Pistons money line because I hate money. No Bet

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz Game 4 Betting Tips:

Vin: The Jazz need to be put out of their misery. Their defense and the luck gods conspired to have James Harden start the first half 0-for-10 and end the game 3-for-20. They still lost. That is tailormade for a Jazz win and they squandered it.

I really had high hopes for this team to make a series of it, but that was just not in the cards. They lack talent on the wing for a playoff series. Plus, this is just the absolute worst match-up for them in the first round. Or anyone. The Rockets are a machine. The Rockets are going to the second round.

Rockets -2.5

Graeme: If there was any game for the Jazz to win, it’d be the last game.

I think this is a team that will be dead today. They just know they’re screwed. Not really much to say here – I just can’t see the Rockets losing this. I think they win by double digits.

Rockets -2.5

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April 21st, 2019 NBA Playoff Tips

Graeme & VinWritten by Graeme & Vin

1-0 yesterday. A great day of NBA action yesterday and we’ve got another big day ahead of us.

Let’s look at yesterday first of all.

The 76ers ended up playing Joel Embiid. We weren’t too happy with that as me saying the 76ers would cover the spread and Vin saying the over relied on Embiid being out. As it is he was a big factor as they won 112-108 and he had 31 points and 16 rebounds.

We had a unified pick of the Nuggets to cover the spread and they did that with a 117-103 victory.

The Bucks are the Bucks and they did what they do.

Rockets vs Jazz was an interesting one with Harden having a brutal game then coming back strong. What a win for the Rockets and that may be the series.

Let’s get onto todays tips:

Celtics vs Pacers Game 4 Betting Tips:

Vin: This is it for the Pacers, all the cards on the table and try to salvage this series. If I had to pick a series to be a gentleman’s sweep before the playoffs began, it would’ve been this one. In fact, I did.

That said, I really though it would’ve happened by now. The Pacers have definitely had their opportunities to steal a game in this series, but they have not been able to close out. Kyrie Irving has been the Mariano Rivera of this series and has closed them out more than once. That could very well happen again here.

Since I have that bet I am not going to be betting on the outcome as I feel it biases me a bit. I will, however, go with the under again. All three games in this series have gone under and I don’t see either team suddenly stopping playing defense or becoming great shooters.

Celtics/Pacers Under 204.5

Graeme: Generally when a team is going to lose on the way to a gentlemans sweep, it’s Game 3. But that didn’t happen. The Celtics yet again neutralzied the Pacers offense.

Will Game 4 be any different? Doubtful. I think Celtics defense will be in their heads now. I think Celtics take this one with ease and we see a frustrated Pacers team who have given up. Celtics -3 all day long.

Warriors vs Clippers Game 4 Betting Tips:

Vin: The Warriors lost game two in historic fashion and it really pissed them off. We saw them really lock in for game three and almost embarrass this Clippers team on their home court. I don’t see any of that changing here. When this team is locked in they are the best in the game. The Clippers played an outstanding game in the game two, but when the Warriors are locked in? Nobody touches them.

Warriors -8.5

Graeme: After that loss, the Warriors bounced back strong with a 132-105 game where they didn’t really let up.

I see similar motivation here. Warriors were embarrassed and humbled by that one. They also see the Bucks tearing it up and that will motivae them. Warriors -8.5

Raptors vs Magic Game 4 Betting Tips:

Vin: The Magic came out firing in game one and stole a game on Toronto’s home court. That almost seems like a mirage after the way these last couple have gone. The Raptors remind of the Warriors in this series as they really had no business losing that game and ever since then they’ve locked in.

As a fan, I’d love for the Magic to come in here and give their fans a home win. I just don’t see it happening from an analytical standpoint and I think the Raptors are smelling blood. They know a win here means they can close it out at home.

Raptors -5

Graeme: The news about Kawhi Leonard concerns me – where he wasn’t feeling too good etc. I wonder if they end up taking him out or something.

I think Raptors will want to flex their muscle though and show that like the Bucks they are a team to be reckoned with. It also sets the stage going forward. Raptors -5.

Blazers vs Thunder Game 4 Betting Tips:

Vin: I took the Blazers in game two as I felt the line was a bit too high. While the Thunder ended up covering that game, it didn’t deter me from liking the Blazers.

The Thunder won because for the first time in this series they made their threes. They shot 15-for-29 from deep and that’s it, that’s why they won. Russell Westbrook, one of the worst three-point shooters in the league, shot 4-for-6. Jerami Grant shot 4-for-5 after shooting 0-for-8 prior to this.

I really don’t think this was a matter of adjustments or anything like that. The Thunder shot the lights out from three. They aren’t a good shooting team. I am willing to bet on that not happening again. I am willing to bet on Damian Lillard ripping these home fan’s hearts out.

Blazers +6

Graeme: Just looks like one of those series where it’s all home team doesn’t it? Blazers have been the better team over the three games but looks that way and Thunder getting that win was huge. Thunder -5.5

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April 20th, 2019 NBA Betting Tips

Graeme & VinWritten by Graeme & Vin

A good day of action in the NBA yesterday with three close games.

We won with our lone unified pick of the Raptors -4. They covered the spread by one point as they played solid but did some good defense to just keep them ahead.

The Celtics vs Pacers game was a fascinating one. Three lopsided quarters and then the Celtics kept it up in the 4th quarter for a 104-96 win. Vin had the under there and profited.

The Oklahoma City Thunder stepped up to make a series of it as they beat the Blazers 120-108.

Saturday, April 20th has 4 games on the board. Two game 4s and two game 3s. Will be interesting to see how things go today.

76ers vs Nets Game 4 Betting Tips:

Graeme: Without Joel Embiid, the 76ers bonded together and came up with a big victory to go up 2-1 in this series. They’ll want to win this one now so they can go back home and theoretically wrap it up.

I think for the 76ers it’s all about drive right now. And I think winning here then taking it at home will drive them. If I were them I’d rest Embiid and save him for the next game. The boys will get it done without him.

76ers -1.5 if Embiid is out

Vin: The weird thing here is that if Joel Embiid plays, I like the Nets better. If he’s out, I like the Sixers better. That’s just some of the weird match-up stuff that you see in the NBA that really shows itself in the NBA Playoffs.

I think this is really do or die time for the Brooklyn Nets. This is their only real chance to make a series of this one. I think they do that by pushing the pace and firing a lot of threes. I am feeling less confident about them evening this series, but I do believe it will be a high scoring one.

76ers/Nets Over 231.5

Nuggets vs Spurs Game 4 Betting Tips:

The Spurs lead 2-1 in this series.

The Nuggets have lost 14 games in a row in San Antonio going back to 2012. That’s crazy.

I think these two will be trading the wins and that the Nuggets take this one or at least ride it down to the wire. I think they’ll win outright but we’ll take the points.

Nuggets +3.5

Vin: I have believed in the Nuggets to win this series all along and I am not going to stop now. The team needed to adjust to the playoffs in game one, they did that and took game two. Now they need to learn about playing on the road. They took the loss in game three and now they know what to expect and I’m thinking things will be better here.

Jamal Murray has to show up here. After his awesome game two, he only *attempted* six shots in game three. That won’t fly here and I believe he’ll let it fly as the Nugs even the series.

Nuggets +3.5

Bucks vs Pistons Game 3 Betting Tips:

Graeme: I love the Bucks to sweep, but I don’t love this point spread. 9 points is a heck of a lot.

Mathematically, I think Pistons +9 is an +EV play by far. But I just can’t take it. I could see the Bucks continuing to flex their muscle.

No play.

Vin: Snore. After watching back-to-back NBA games tomorrow I am planning this one for my nap time. That’s because the Pistons are the worst team in the NBA Playoffs and I believe the Bucks are the very best. The Pistons might get a little run in the first half, similar to game two, but in the end it will be the Bucks dunking and shooting threes all over them.

Bucks -8

Rockets vs Jazz Game 3 Betting Tips:

Graeme: Rockets are also flexing their muscle.

I think Jazz are able to take one win though. And Game 3 switching to Utah is that one. Rockets will also have a bit of complacency. We see gentlemans sweeps a lot, and they usually occur in Game 3.

Jazz -2.5

Vin: I’ve been expecting something better from the Jazz for two games and maybe it’s just not coming. I want to say that they’ll do better at home and make a series of this one, but James Harden has just owned them. I don’t see that changing. Bring on the second round and that Warriors/Rockets series.

Rockets+-2.5

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April 19th, 2019 NBA Playoff Betting Tips

Graeme & VinWritten by Graeme & Vin

We continue to crush it in the NBA playoffs with a 2-0 night last night with our unified picks.

We had the Warriors -8 as we expected them to bounce back strong. They did so and came out hot with a 41 point first quarter. They ended up winning 132-105.

Spurs vs Nuggets was an interesting one but we trusted the San Antonio Spurs. They did the job and covered the spread with ease in a 118-108 victory.

We opposed each other on the 76ers vs Nets game and Graeme came out top in that one. Despite no Joel Embiid, the 76ers did the business and won 131-115 on the road. An excellent confidence boosting win for the 76ers and it’s their series to lose now.

For Friday, April 19th we’ve got three games on the board.

The Raptors head to Orlando, the celtics head to Indiana, and the Blazers head to Oklahoma City.

Let’s get to it:

Raptors vs Magic Betting Tips:

Graeme: Raptors got their Game 1 hoodoo out of the way, and came into Game 2 to prove a point. They did so and that point is that they are a much better team than the Orlando Magic.

I see that continuing tonight. It’s possible Raptors might drop one at some point but I’m very confident they’re taking this series, and confident that we see a more dominant game from the Raptors. They handled Nikola Vucevic so well in Game 2 and will be able to handle him again tonight.

Raptors -4

Vin: I was very surprised to see this line come in at this number. The Raptors really showed who they were in game two of this series and I don’t expect them to let up here. I was thinking that we’d have a line of -8 to -10, but -4? I’m all over that. The Magic have no answer for Kawhi Leonard in this series and their big men have done a fantastic job of shutting down Nikola Vucevic. The Magic need a magical shooting night to keep on in this series, and I just don’t see the Raps defense allowing that here.

Bet Raptors -4

Celtics vs Pacers Betting Tips:

Graeme: Things aren’t looking good for the Pacers as the Celtics defense were able to stifle them in the first two games. The question is can they continue that on the road?

Celtics buiilt a big lead in that game then held onto it. That’s what Pacers need to do is not let the Cetics get that lead. If you see momentum switching to them then call a timeout. Take a second to regroup.

Pacers are a much better home team though and will be up for this one. If there’s one game they win, it’s this one. Pacers -3

Vin: This series has seen some of the worst offensive performances in all of the playoffs. These two teams have being playing at a sub-Knicks level on offense in this series and I just don’t see it getting any better. It feels like the Celtics are happy to muck it up and make this a low-scoring affair because they know in the end that they have Kyrie Irving and the Pacers don’t. The boring ball should continue here, and this time I’m not afraid to go under.

Bet Celtics/Pacers Under 203.5

Blazers vs Thunder Betting Tips:

Graeme: The Oklahoma City Thunder are down 2-0 and I’m having my doubts about them I have to say.

Russell Westbrook just isn’t stepping up like he should be.

They’re a solid home team however while the Blazers are more of a beast at home.

In saying that, I’m not sure the Thunder have what it takes tonight. You need a strong mental game and I don’t know if they have that. But I can’t bet against them as we see these home/road splits so much in the NBA. No Bet. I will be rooting for the Thunder though.

Vin: This is it. Do or die time for the Thunder. Portland has absolutely dominated this one early with Damian Lillard being the best player in the series and outplaying Russell Westbrook on both ends of the floor. I don’t think anyone expected that, but we always underrated the Blazers and Lillard. They are actually great and deserve our respect.

There are adjustments that the Thunder can and should make here. They should exploit Enes Kanter‘s defense more. They should get more out of their role players at home. At the end of the day though, I just don’t see this team doing well unless Paul George is healthy and dominating. I don’t believe he is.

This line is way too high for what we’ve seen in this series so far. Give me the points.

Blazers +8

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April 18th, 2019 NBA Playoff Tips

Graeme & VinWritten by Graeme & Vin

A 1-0 night with our lone unified pick.

We had the Milwaukee Bucks -15 as we expected them to flex their muscle. They did so with a convincing 120-99 victory to go up 2-0 in the series.

We opposed each other on the Pacers vs Celtics game and it was a half point decider as the Celtics had a big 4th quarter, winning 99-91.

We also opposed on the Rockets vs Jazz game and Graeme was the winner there with another big performance from the Rockets. James Harden logged a triple double.

It’s Thursday, April 18th and we’ve got three games on the board. All three are tied 1-1 in the series as they switch venues.

Let’s get to it:

76ers vs Nets Game 3 Betting Tips:

Graeme: The Philadelphia 76ers lost Game 1 to the Nets but bounced back strong in Game 2. To their credit, the Brooklyn Nets played damn well and put up 123 points…just not enough against an unstoppable Philly team.

There are some serious question marks over Philly. Joel Embiid is still battling his knee issues. Their motivational levels are weird too. If they come into this game too confident or cocky they’ll get caught out. I think the fact that the Nets offense put up so many points against them will stop that being an issue though.

I also think the Embiid situation is a good one – it’ll force Philly to focus on winning so he can rest. Or at least they can take say a 3-1 lead then he can rest – you know the drill.

76ers -3.5

Vin: Philly once again has Joel Embiid listed as questionable here and he’ll likely be a gametime decision. This didn’t effect them too much in game two as Ben Simmons had a great game, but that could be a different story on the road.

The interesting thing about this series to me is how the Nets have shot the three ball. Even in the game two loss they shot over 40% from deep which should help them as things switch to Brooklyn. I think they really let it fly here and if they shoot over 40% again that they can win this one.

Bet Nets +3

Nuggets vs Spurs Game 3 Betting Tips:

Vin: Since 2005, the Spurs are 6-1 ATS coming off a loss in game two. Throw in the fact that this is the young Nuggets first playoff road game and the fact that teams typically shoot better on the road, and this is the easiest pick of the night for me.

I like the Nuggets in this series still, but this game feels like a guaranteed loss.

Spurs -4

Graeme: Denver is always a tricky place to go. The Spurs managed to win the first game however lost the second one 114-105. This should be an interesting one in San Antonio. Jamal Murray stepped up as expected in Game 2.

Spurs weren’t as disciplined in Game 2 as they were in Game 1 which I expected. I think we see a disciplined and professional performance tonight to take the lead in the series. Spurs -4

Warriors vs Clippers Game 3 Betting Tips:

Vin: This is the toughest game to pick in my opinion. The Warriors blew a historic lead in game two, but at the same time it was because of just how good the Clippers played. This wasn’t the comeback where the team shot great from three, they played their game and they came back. Lou Williams got hot and was unstoppable, which could only happen more in front of a hot home crowd.

That said, there is some question about that. There’s been talk of a lot of Warriors fans being at this game because of LA. Also, there was a long period with Stephen Curry on the bench that definitely swung this game. The Clips have had no answer for him in this series and if he stays out of foul trouble, they still won’t.

Golden State is the most on/off team I’ve ever followed, but if they aren’t going to be “on” after that terrible loss than they deserve to lose.

Bet Warriors -8

Graeme: Warriors have their issues. I knew they’d get complacent and lose one but I didn’t expect it in such a fashion.

I don’t see that happening the rest of the series. Warriors -8