October 30th, 2017 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

A 1-1 record last night.

It was another typical night in the NBA. The Warriors lost at home to the Pistons, the Cavaliers lost to the Knicks and the Pacers beat the Spurs. This has been an absolutely bonkers season thus far with a weird upset just about every single night of the season thus far. The parity in this league is really interesting right now. I’m not sure if it’s the talent level getting better, the over reliance on three pointers or teams simply taking it easy early, but this year has been WEIRD.

We are doing our best to adjust and get a handle on it. Tonight we like four games so let’s not waste any time and get right into it.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Miami Heat Betting Tips:

Here are two teams that were expected to be playoff contenders this year that have stumbled out of the gate. The Wolves have been one of the teams that really having us scratching our heads. Their three wins are against tough teams, Utah and Oklahoma City, while their three losses are against the Kawhi-less Spurs, Pistons and Pacers. They haven’t made much sense thus far. Yet, for some reason they are a road favorite here tonight despite having a -7.8 Net Rating.

Miami is in the midst of a six-game home stretch. That has to be good for their team to sleep in their own beds for all that time. They’ve actually lost their last two, to San Antonio and Boston, so they should come in to this one with a little extra motivation. They are also a negative in Net Rating at -5.1.

This one comes down to home court and points. The Heat +3.5 is way too much for a team playing at home with a higher Net Rating.

Charlotte Hornets vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Tips:

Memphis is 5-1 with a +7.4 Net Rating that puts them at sixth in the NBA. They have been holding opponents to a 97.2 defensive rating which is top four. Basically, they are playing Grizzlies basketball and getting it done. As always. When Conley and Gasol are healthy, this team is a threat.

They play the Hornets in Memphis tonight. While there is a lot to like about Charlotte’s play this year, they are hard to get behind here. Gasol and Conley are much better than Howard and Walker, and you can do that with almost every player in the rotation. The Grizzlies are a West team and the West is the best.

We really like Memphis -6 here tonight.

Get the NBA Tips delivered to your inbox each day for free.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz Betting Tips:

Utah is playing the slowdown, defensive bully ball that has led to a lot of success over the past couple of years. They are both scoring and allowing under 100 points per game. That isn’t great on the offensive end, but on the defensive end it really benefits them tonight.

Dallas is a terrible defensive team. Their Defensive Rating is at 110 which ranks 29th of 30 in the NBA. Their only really skill is scoring and Utah isn’t going to allow much of that. This one could get ugly.

Utah -8 is playing at home against a team that plays right into their strengths. We love this pick tonight.

Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Tips:

All the talk in the NBA this season has been about how the Warriors are having trouble early and the Clippers are great now. Do you think the Warriors haven’t read that stuff? Do you think the Warriors aren’t coming in to this game with a chip on their shoulder?

The Warriors offense has been there this year, a 115.6 offensive rating is by far the highest in the NBA. The defensive has failed them a bit, but this team has played really well against the Clippers over the last couple of seasons. Chris Paul may be gone, but the coach is the same and the Warriors know his style. These are the last four Clippers-Warriors games.

02/23/2017 LA CLIPPERS 113
02/02/2017 GOLDEN STATE 133
01/28/2017 LA CLIPPERS 98
12/07/2016 GOLDEN STATE 115

We are big fans of this Clippers team, but not tonight. The Warriors -5.5 are still the best team in the NBA and whatever motivation issues they’ve had this year won’t be there tonight. Logo

October 28th, 2017 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

A 1-1 record last night.

Some nights you just don’t have it. Some nights the team you are going against just needs it more. That was probably the case in our loss last with the Nets +2 at the Knicks. New York hadn’t won a game yet this season and that was probably their best chance to get over that hump before things got out of control. The Nets got dominated on the boards and the high flying offense didn’t fly high. These games happen sometimes. Nobody goes 0-82 in the NBA, even though the talent level says that maybe they should.

The Rockets game was much more how we predicted as the Houston offense took control in the second quarter and never looked back. We said we liked the Rockets three-point shooting to improve, which it did to 38%. That is the magic number we are looking for from them so be sure to keep an eye on that going forward. Of course, any game where you get a triple double from James Harden is a pretty good day at the office and one where the Rockets are bound to get things done.

We are feeling good about that one and carrying it’s momentum into today. We have just one game that we are focusing on, Detroit at the Clippers, so let’s get right into that one.

Get the NBA Tips delivered to your inbox each day for free.

Detroit Pistons vs Los Angeles Clippers Betting Tips:

Who is the hottest team in the NBA? Who is playing at home tonight? What city is the best for away teams to party in the night before? The answer to all of these questions is: LOS ANGELES, BABY!

While I’d like this game without that last factor, we have seen it mess teams up in the past. Considering the Pistons don’t need a lot of help to get messed up, I’ll chalk that up as a positive.

The Clippers are playing really inspired basketball right now. They have a bench that they never had in the Chris Paul era and a fluidity with the basketball that is a lot more fun to watch. With all the big moves this offseason, Danilo Gallinari may be the best pick-up that any team made this offseason. They are doing it in interesting ways too, they have the best turnover percentage and third best rebounding percentage. They have the best Net Rating in the NBA and this looks like the best Clippers team we’ve seen in years.

Detroit? Detroit’s Detroit. They win some games, they lose some games. They are the closest to what I imagine a “.500 team” looks like. I don’t like how close they’ve played some games and some of their wins feel hollow. This is one of the games that they lose and no is all that surprised about. On the road, against a tough team in an environment that doesn’t exactly encourage focus. Yes, please

Drummond is no Jordan, Beverley can handle their point guards easily and Blake Griffin will be the best player on the court. Clippers -7.5 is the play of the day. Logo

October 27th, 2017 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

An absolute heart breaker of a night last night. First, the Bucks had the ultimate home court advantage and lost. Then, the Blazers lost the game (and the cover) thanks to a last second three-pointer by Blake Griffin of all people. We ended the night with the Kings blowing a late lead at home to the Pelicans. Not a great night.

What we’ve learned from these early games is that there is a lot more parity in the NBA than there used to be. Maybe it’s just early and this will wash out, but the way things are playing out right now it’s definitely an “any team can win on any given night” environment. The early season has been a wild card for us, but we think we’re starting to get a handle on it. We’ve had a number of 1-2 point swings that will even out over the course of the season. As long as we stay the course. Winning days are ahead.

Let’s start tonight with tonight in which there are two games we are really in love with.

Brooklyn Nets vs New York Knicks Betting Tips:

The Brooklyn Nets are looking like a real team this season. They are 3-2 on the year and are playing some exciting basketball. They are not looking like a playoff team or anything like that, but they are an even Net Rating team and their offensive rating of 109.7 is sixth in the NBA. If you are not careful, this team will blitz you and run you off the court.

They face the exact kind of team that they can do that to tonight in the New York Knicks. Despite the existence of the Phoenix Suns, they are last in the NBA in Net Rating at -15.5. That’s bad, really bad. Their Offensive Rating and is a horrific 93.8 while their Defensive Rating is 109.3. I think there is a little synergy in that 109/109 thing and it’s not good for the Knicks.

Despite being at home and looking for their first win of the season, we do not like the Knicks chances tonight. Brooklyn has been playing really well thus far and even without D’Angelo Russell we think they will run the Knicks off the floor. And we’re getting points. Brooklyn +2 is the play here.

Get the NBA Tips delivered to your inbox each day for free.

Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornets Betting Tips:

We like what we’ve seen from Charlotte thus far this season. They are actually seventh in the NBA in Net Rating right now, but there is a huge difference between playing the Detroit Pistons and Atlanta Hawks to playing the Houston Rockets.

Houston has had a few stumbles this season, but we still believe in them and think them one of the best teams in the NBA. They are 4-1 on the season, but just 2-3 against the spread. The reason, we think, is their three-point shooting hasn’t quite come around yet. They are shooting just 28% on the season and that number is going to go up. They are too fast and have too many good shooters for it not to.

The Hornets will be rolling out Dwight Howard and he is the exact kind of player that a team like Houston can take advantage of. Slow, defensive styles like Charlotte’s don’t work on a team like Houston. I think they are going to run them off the floor and Charlotte will really struggle to keep up on teh offensive end.

We like Houston -3 quite a lot here and tonight should be a great night for us. Logo

October 23rd, 2017 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

The first week of the NBA is in the books and boy, have we seen a lot of stuff happen. Gordon Hayward is done for the season, Chris Paul is on the shelf with an injury and the World champion Golden State Warriors are 1-2. Oh, and Giannis Antetokounmpo is dominating every team and looking like the best player in the NBA. What a league.

We get back into things with a full schedule tonight. There are three games that we are targeting for tips. The 1-2 Warriors head to Dallas to take on the 0-2 Mavericks is one. We also like the Denver Nuggets hosting the Washington Wizards and the San Antonio Spurs hosting the Toronto Raptors. Let’s get into the games and see what we have here.

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips:

Things have been weird for the Warriors thus far. They blew a big lead on opening night to the Rockets and lost their banner raising game. Steph Curry was thrown out of a game for throwing his mouthpiece and they have more losses than wins for the first time in… forever. This is all just noise though and nothing to really worried about.

They are playing their third game in four nights and Curry is questionable, but they are also playing the Dallas Mavericks. They are a big favorite here tonight and why not? The Warriors are the Warriors and the Mavericks are 0-3. They should be big favorites.

However, the thing that has been worrisome about the Warriors this season has been their defense. They’ve allowed 111 or more in every game and they aren’t as engaged as we would expect them. We like them to win tonight, but we think that trend will continue with them allowing some big points.

The play here is Over 214.5. They are going to put up 120+ tonight and they are going to give up some too. With or without Curry, we have total faith in this one.

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs Betting Tips:

This game is a trap if you are thinking of betting on Toronto. Spurs without Kawhi, lots of names you know on Toronto and a small line. The Raptors look really juicy to bet on, but that’s not the play.

The thing is the West is way better than the East. The truth is the Spurs are one of the best teams in the West. The Spurs are a really, really great team at home. The Spurs are a great bet here tonight.

Don’t be fooled by the lack of star power. Spurs -2.5 is the right bet here.

Get the NBA Tips delivered to your inbox each day for free.

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips:

Denver doesn’t quite have the same reputation as San Antonio, but they are always a team you have to watch at home. Why? Elevation. It’s real and it can mess with players from opposing teams if they are not acclimated.

That said, we might like this game even without the effects of the environment. Washington hasn’t played much defense thus far this year, allowing 111+ to both the Pistons and 76ers. Not exactly the Warriors and Rockets. The Nuggets defense is one we like a lot as they have Paul Millsap, one of the more underrated defenders in the game, and have been much improved in the small sample size.

A bad defense on one team, a good defense on another and home court/home elevation advantage. Yes, please. Nuggets -3.5 might be our favorite play of the day. Logo

October 22nd, 2017 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

1-1 last night.

We tipped the Over 217.5 points in the Phoenix Suns versus Los Angeles Clippers game, only to see the total land at 218. We called it right with the Clippers putting up a huge number in 130, but the Suns didn’t do much to keep up with only 88 points. Just enough for the win though.

We were also on the Oklahoma City Thunder -4 at the Utah Jazz. The Jazz were playing their third in four nights and we expected them to be tired, but it was the Thunder who came out sluggish. Only scoring 34 points in the first half, they weren’t able to make this game competitive. We’ll be keeping an eye on the Jazz as they have proven us wrong more than once thus far this year.

Today we have three games to choose from and tips for two of them so let’s get right into that.

Atlanta Hawks vs Brooklyn Nets Betting Tips:

Two teams that won’t make the playoffs this year face off in an afternoon match-up that should feature some real fireworks. Both teams have played two games thus far with the Nets allowing 130 points per game and the Hawks allowing 110 points per game. These are not good defenses and they will each need to score to make this game competitive.

Brooklyn has shown they are capable of doing that thus far. They put up 131 in the opener against Indiana and 126 against Orlando. They place at a quick pace so there will be lots of opportunities for buckets. They will definitely do their part to fill it up in this one.

Atlanta is a bit more of a wildcard, but they should benefit from playing the Nets. They put up 117 in the opener, but then only 91 against the Hornets. Charlotte should be one of the better defensive teams in the Eastern Conference this year so that isn’t all that surprising. Expect a big bounce back tonight.

In case you couldn’t tell, we hate the defenses and love the offenses in this one. Over 220 is our play here.

Get the NBA Tips delivered to your inbox each day for free.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Tips:

We often like to look at who is playing their third game in four nights to get a judge on how a team might perform. The Thunder are doing exactly that tonight and that could cause them to play a bit sluggish. We still think the talent level is there, but they might be running at like 90-95% effectiveness. Just something that we keep an eye on.

With or without the rest, we really like their defense this year. In the two games they’ve played, they are yet to allow 100 points in a game. Paul George, Steven Adams and Andre Roberson are elite defenders that hide the shortcomings of their superstar teammates, Carmelo Anthony and Russell Westbrook. This team will shut you down.

The same can be said about Minnesota. They held Utah under 100 their last timeout and have shown to be improving on defense. Tom Thibodeau wouldn’t have it any other way and with Jimmy Butler and Taj Gibson on board to show the young people the way, this defense should only improve as the season progresses.

We are digging the Under 211.5 in this one. These defenses are for real and the Thunder’s travel may help the Wolves D a little bit more. Logo

October 21st, 2017 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

Tough night last night as every tip fell a shot or two short. They were all covering at some point late, but didn’t end up winners. They won the games, but didn’t cover the spreads. That happens. Those are the kind of breaks you miss in an NBA season every now and then. We are undeterred and look to finish our weekend strong.

We have a full schedule tonight and there a couple of games that really stood out so let’s get right into that.

Utah Jazz vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Tips:

It’s only been one game, but the Thunder are looking like a monster and Graeme is out trying to buy all the Thunder merch that he can. They played the awful Knicks, but the fit looked great with everyone getting theirs and the team playing well together. Of course, they were playing one of the worst teams in the league and it’s easy to look good doing that. Tonight will be a test.

The Jazz have been a spunky team thus far, showing they will play just as tough without Gordon Hayward as they did with him. They ruined our Timberwolves bet last night and are going to be a tough team to deal with this year. However, we don’t like them at all tonight.

Why? Simple, they are playing their third game in four nights. You know, a scheduled loss. The type of thing the NBA started the season to avoid. They opened at home, played in Minnesota and now head back home for a back-to-back.

The Thunder -5 are a top-four team in the West, they have only played one game thus far and the Jazz will be tired. Loving this tip.

Get the NBA Tips delivered to your inbox each day for free.

Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Tips:

Man, every other team in the league would kill for the Clippers opening schedule. The lottery bound Lakers followed by arguably the worst team in the league in the Phoenix Suns. A 2-0 start is looking pretty damn likely as the Clippers are favored by 12.5 in this one. That’s not why we’re here though.

We’re here for the Suns defense. They’ve played two games and allowed 124 in one and 132 in the other. They turned the ball over 16+ times in each game and opponents have hit 50% against them. This is going to be a long season for the Suns. They have some interesting young players that could be pretty awesome in a few years, but they cannot defend anyone and they are going to give up a lot of points this season.

The Clippers should handle their business here. They are a veteran team and they’ve had two days off to prepare for this one. Blake Griffin looked really good in the opener going for 29 points and 12 rebounds, he’s ready to be the man on this team. DeAndre Jordan put up some huge rebounding numbers, 24 boards in just 31 minutes. Those two should beat up on the Suns front court while I also expect a big game out of Danilo Gallinari who should have plenty of open corner 3s.

We think the Clippers roll and the over 217.5 will be reached. The Suns defense is just too bad and the Clippers offense has too many weapons not to exploit it. Logo

October 20th, 2017 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

It was a strong 2-0 winning night for us last night with none of the games even being all that close. That’s 4-1 over the last two days so let’s try and keep that going this weekend.

We went with the Thunder -12 over the Knicks and the result wasn’t even close. Westbrook had a triple double, George had a great game and Carmelo got his. The result was actually the inverse of that number as the Thunder won by 21.

The Clippers -6 was our late night pick and the result was almost three times that. The Clips beat up on the young Lakers by a total of 16 points. Nice.

We move on to the first big Friday night of the season with three tips tonight.

Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons Betting Tips:

The Pistons opened up the season by beating up on a beat-up Hornets team in front of… not a lot of people. Things looked good for them on this night, but like I said it was a beat-up Hornets team without some key players. Things will be much different tonight.

With Gordon Hayward lost for the season, the Wizards should gain the crown of the second best team in the Eastern Conference. They put up big points in the opening game against the 76ers and I really like this match-up for them tonight. With Reggie Jackson and Ish Smith splitting time at the point, I expect John Wall to have a big night. Don’t underestimate Gortat on Andre Drummond either.

Graeme and I agree that the Wizards -5.5 will roll tonight.

Get the NBA Tips delivered to your inbox each day for free.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz Betting Tips:

The Timberwolves lost their first game at the Spurs who were without Kawhi Leonard. This shouldn’t be considered a failure on their part at all. The Spurs beat the Rockets in the playoffs in Houston in a deciding game without Kawhi Leonard. The Wolves aren’t that machine that the Spurs are. Not yet at least.

We like their chances here tonight. This is their home opener and last season they were much better at home than on the road (+9 wins) and this is a team with Jimmy Butler now.

Utah is going to have a good season as their defense should be high in the league again, but we just don’t see the talent to match Minnesota in this game. The Wolves will be able to match their defensive toughness while Jimmy Butler will be the best player on the court.

Home openers have gone well for most teams thus far and the Wolves -4 should be no different.

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Tips:

The Warriors were one of the teams that didn’t have their home opener go so well. They were up much of the game, but the Rockets made a run in the fourth while the Warriors just seemed out of it. With the raising of the championship banner and so many non-basketball activities going on, it’s easy to see them being distracted.

That won’t be the case here tonight. This is a team with 70-win potential and the Pelicans are a lower seed at best. This isn’t a fair fight and there is no way that the world champion Golden State Warriors start this season 0-2.

Tonight the Warriors -8.5 have it easy in the Big Easy.