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January 11th, 2019 NBA Betting Tips

VinWritten by Vin

A 1-0 record last night.

What a win it was. The Spurs, getting +1.5, won 154-147 in double overtime. This was the first 300 point game since 2006 and just a crazy game from the Spurs. LaMarcus Aldrige had a career high 56 and the story of this one to a lot of people was the death of the mid-range shot, and the Spurs exploitation of that.

While that is definitely true of this offense, they still shoot threes and they shot them amazingly last night. Bryn Forbes, Patty Mills, Marco Belinelli, and Davis Bertrans were a combined 15-for-16 from three-point range. Crazy. It’d be wrong not to mention the amazing stat line of Russell Westbrook in this one as he scored 24 points, grabbed 13 rebounds, and dished out 24 assists.

The Spurs have been pretty good to us of late and they are on an awesome 14-4 stretch right now. They have a bit more road games coming up, but this offense is really cooking and is hard to defend.

A typical Friday night of basketball with nine games on the slate. Let’s take a look at what we have.

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Washington Wizards vs. Milwaukee Bucks: Milwaukee is the clearly the better team here, but the Wizards have played some interesting ball since John Wall went down. Bradley Beal has taken over and is playing at an All-Star level, leading the team to big wins over the Thunder and Sixers. The Wizards have been bad this year, but they’ve done well at home with a 12-7 record. They are also 3-1 ATS as a home underdog. Love the Bucks as always, but don’t feel comfortable laying points on the road.

Brooklyn Nets vs. Toronto Raptors: This line is weird to me. Feels like it should be Raps -5, but it’s -9.5 right now. Brooklyn has won four of their past five and have a good road record on the year. While Toronto is 17-4 at home this year, they are only 9-12 ATS and 4-8 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. I’m really into the Nets here, but the Raps at home are still the Raps at home.

Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors: This feels like the kind of game that the Warriors have trapped bettors with all season. Huge favorite, weak opponent, and playing at home. They should win by 20, but they are 15-21 against the spread on the year and -15.5 is a lot.

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Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Tips:

The Wolves have won three straight and are 1-0 under new head coach Ryan Saunders. The team just works better in this post-Jimmy Butler world. They are 16-12 since making that trade and the lineups work better with Dario Saric, Robert Covington, Andrew Wiggins, and Karl-Anthony Towns in a clear pecking order.

They draw a nice match-up with the Mavericks today. The Mavs are 3-18 on the season in road games this season. While their against the spread numbers are much better, this spread feels more in line than with a lot of spreads I’ve seen for them on the road this season. They are 3-6 against the spread as a road underdog of six points or less. One match-up I’m interested in here is Towns against DeAndre Jordan, who has looked like a mess this season. His turnover rate and the young, athletic Towns could make him look silly here.

Bet Minnesota -4.5